Investing Online Share Tips July 10

Investing Online - Newspaper Share Tips July 10

Stock Market Investing

INVESTORS CHRONICLE
Technology shares for the brave

Amphion Innovations
Imperial Innovations
Braveheart Investment Group
IP Group

Tips

Sell Yell Group at 22p
Sell Marston's at 91p
Sell Hallin Marine at 105p

Buy Morgan Sindall at 626p
Buy Informa at 229p
Buy Resaca Exploitation at 28p

Updates

Sell Game Group and Anite
Buy Research Now and Petrofac
Accsys Technologies fairly priced.

Company results

Buy Eros International - IDOX - MDM Group - Opsec - Photo-Me International -Digital Marketing.

FINANCIAL TIMES

Lex

Swiss bank secrecy - Berne may confiscate UBS data so that Switzerland's largest private bank will be unable to release them to US courts.

Quantitative easing - the Bank of England has surprised everyone by halting this treatment.

Comment

European Islamic Investment Bank up on bid hopes
Talk of fundraising at London & Stanford

THE TIMES

Tempus - Share tips

Buy Premier Oil
Sell Computacenter
Hold on to Begbies Traynor.

Comment

PV Crystalox rises on takeover speculation

Bet of the day: Bovis Homes.

Tiddler to watch - African Minerals

DAILY TELEGRAPH

Questor - Stock picks

Buy Croda
Hold Aveva.

Comment

Hays: recruitment in the city gives cause for hope.

THE INDEPENDENT
Investment - share tips

Hold AB Foods
Man Group - tentative buy
Sell Centaur Media.

Outlook

Nationwide offering 125% mortgages.

Comment

Fresnillo benefits from silver price outlook

DAILY EXPRESS

Aviva hit by solvency fears.

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Swing Trading

Investing Online Swing Trading

Stock Investing for Beginners - Learning to Invest

What is Swing Trading?

When investing online or trying to make money from the stock market, traders apply a number of different strategies, such as Day Trading, Swing Trading, or Long-term Value Investing as recommended by Warren Buffett.

In swing trading the idea is to buy stocks (or sell them) for just a few days. The aim obviously is to make money by selling the stocks (or buying them back) a few days later. Swing trading is not interested in long-term trades.

There are however a number of recommendations it is worth following when swing trading

If a stock price gaps 1-2%, you should buy (or sell) half of the position size you intend buying (or selling) then see how the stock behaves before increasing your position. If the price doen't return to its original price, increase your position position.

If a the stock price gaps 2-3%, only buy (or sell) a quarter of the position size you intend buying (or selling).

If the stock price has gapped more than 3%, you are probably better off not bothering with the trade and looking for something else instead - the risk/reward is no longer the same, there is too much risk for too little reward.
Stock Investing - Swing Trading Video

Investing Online Newspaper Stocks Tips

Investing Online - Newspaper Stocks and Shares Tips

Share Tips

FINANCIAL TIMES
Capita shares about-turn on shorting rumours

THE TIMES

Tempus:

Buy Halma if/when price drops
Hold Whitbread
Hold on to Ted Baker

Comment:

Retailers condemn return of VAT to 17.5% on New Year's Eve as mad

Egdon Resources underpinned by exploration permit hopes in France

Bet of the day: Sainsbury

Tiddler to watch - Lighthouse Group

DAILY TELEGRAPH

Questor:

Buy National Grid
Buy Tesco

Comment:

British Airways: Willie Walsh (£750,000 a year) has a flight of fancy and asks employees to work for nothing [only for a month so that's alright then - he is obviously a great talent and worth every penny of whatever his final salary is - let us hope that B.A. manage to hang on to him - with talent like that he could be snapped up by a bank Ed.] --
Tesco cautious about signs of recovery

Guardian Media Group expect losses

THE INDEPENDENT

Investment
Buy Whitbread
Hold Halma
Avoid Journey Group

Outlook:

Digital Britain - [back to the future - Gordon Brown promises 2 Mbits - and all on copper wires - yum, I can hardly wait ! - Ed.]

Redburn Partners says Lloyds, Barclays and RBS are ripe for picking

DAILY MAIL

UK aerospace - there may be turbulence ahead

PZ Cussons up on Vague takeover talks

Investing Online Eight Tips

Investing Online - Stock Market for Beginners - Eight Things You Should Know

If you are interested in investing online there is a great site you may want to have a look at - The Investing Online Resource Center - www.investingonline.org - the site is in their own words "designed to serve as a valuable source for noncommercial information about investing online .... created solely for educational purposes and maintained by the North American Securities Administrators Association."

They list 8 things you need to know if you are interested in the stock market for beginners and are considering investing online.

1. Start small
   You know it makes sense - don't bet the house ! You can always decide to increase your online account if things work out OK.
2. Diversify
   Online investors tend to focus on stocks, and in particular large-cap domestic stocks. These stocks should be a large part of your portfolio, but to increase risk tolerance you should put together a well-balanced portfolio of stocks, bonds, and cash.
3. Don't ignore mutual funds.
   Mutual funds have the expertise (take care here as they often make mistakes too!). Keep your mutual funds - don't put everything into individual stocks.
4. Keep a close eye on costs they may not always be obvious. Online brokerage costs are lower than offline brokers, but they can still add up. You also must reckon with federal capital gains tax.
5. Make sure your orders work for you.
   When investing online, learn how to use the tools available. (Obvious but true)
   
   Make sure you know the difference between a MARKET order, a LIMIT order, a STOP-LOSS order, "stop orders," "day orders" and "good-till-cancelled" orders.
6. Take care with market orders.
   A limit order limits the price you are willing to pay, a market order means the price when the order is finally placed, which may be a lot different to what it wa when you looked at it.
7. Problems are inevitable.
   Investing online will undoubtedly cause problems - you may be away from your computer, your Internet connection may crash etc... your online broker may have problems etc... In this respect I would recommend anyone reading this to steer clear of TDWaterhouse in my experience you can expect problems - for further info see. TDWaterhouse Problems .
8. Information is power.
   When investing online, you must keep youself well informed. Don't be drawn into hype - make sure you check the facts - I would also add make sure you get to grips with at least the basics of technical analysis and stock market charts.

If in addition to your online investments you have worked hard all your life and have been putting money into a 401K retirement investing then you may wish to consider a 401k rollover to an IRA as a sensible and prudent way of protecting your retirement savings.

You also need to understand about stock charts - see online stock trading for beginners

Home : How to Trade Stocks Online

DOW Rebounds Trend Still Down

Investing Online - Stock Market for Beginners - DOW Rebounds But Charts Still Bearish

After falling below 7000 the DOW rebounded 150 points today to finish the day on 6875 - still 125 below 7000. A number of bears were calling for DOW to fall below 7000 since about a year ago, wjem most people thought they were nuts. All they were doing was looking at the stock market charts and drawing trend lines down from the double top we saw back in 2007. Their projection was under 7000 now Goldman Sachs has said it will go to 6000 and there are even some saying it wil go to 4000 ! That is still quite a drop if indeed it does happen.

Similarly with the S&P 500 - people were calling for 688, and though we haven't actually seen 688 yet we have been very close at 696 - the S&P bounced back to 712 today. I guess we could see another bounce tomorrow but my guess would be for a move up in the morning (US time) then a turn and a move back down. Thus giving a two day uptrend in a bearish market

On Feb 27 on CNBC Bill MClaren said "The next low if the index breaks the November low should be very close to a 1/8 extension of this range. Why, because that is what occurs in almost all similar circumstances. There could just be a marginal break of the November low at 734 to 712 but a run to just marginally below this 1/8 extension of the range to 636 seems more likely. Because the index is trending down from three descending trendlines the probability exists for this run down to be of an exhaustion or capitulation style and quite scary. But it also indicates this could be the last leg down to this trend. If the index does capitulate down it will recover the November low quickly no matter where the low."

So watch out for 636 [UPDATE - we got to 667 in March 2009 on the S&P500] on the downside in the S&P and as my mate Oscar likes to say "Don't fall in love with the upside".

Online stock trading is very difficult at the best of times and at the moment there seems to be more risk to the downside than to the upside when investing online.

See also - online stock trading for beginners

Newspaper Stock Tips

Investing Online - Stock Market for Beginners - Share Tips

Investing for Dummies

The FTSE is down around 125 points at the moment - the DOW, Nasdaq and S&P futures are down and the S&P looks likely to fall to around 740 today. Citigroup has been to all intents purposes nationalized because it's too big to fail - Ivanka Trump thinks CEOs are not paid enough and people should get off their backs and give the guys a break - "we need to pay the best people ludicrous amounts of money otherwise they will go somewhere else" - what best guys ? I haven't seen any recently - GM is bankrupt, Ford is not far off, Chrysler too, practically all the banks are slowly sinking into the mire - who are these highly talented individuals who need billions just to get out of bed in the morning - it's all nonsense !

The DOW may well see 6000 in the not too distant future by the way so hold on to your hats - learn to read the stock charts - and for the time being save your cash or short something if you're very confident - shorting the S&P seems fairly saf at the moment - but that isn't a tip or advice so don't blame me if they discover 10 trillion dollars under Superman's mattress.

For basic information on investing online and on the stock market for beginners see stock charts for dummies

Stock Market McClellan Indicator

Investing Online - Stock Market for Beginners - The McClellan Oscillator

What is the McClellan Oscillator?

The McClellan Oscillator indicator is used in technical analysis by stock market analysts, technical analysts and chartists. It is a "market breadth indicator" overlaid onto stock market charts which indicates the rate of money entering or leaving the market thus indicating when there is an overbought or oversold condition. It was devised back in 1969 by Sherman and Marian McClellan, and is calculated using the exponential moving average (EMA) of the "daily ordinal difference of advancing issues" (stocks which have risen in value) from "declining issues" (stocks which have fallen) over periods of 19 and 39 trading days. The formula used to plot the Oscillator is:

Oscillator = (19-day EMA of Advances minus Declines) - (39-day EMA of Advances minus Declines)

Each day, there are stocks that close higher (advances) and stocks that close lower (declines). The gap between these advance/decline numbers is referred to as the daily breadth. The cumulative total is referred to as the Daily Advance-Decline Line.

This number is important because it correlates closely with stock market movements and gives another way of quantifying market movements.

When a bull market comes to an end for example, there is the possibility that a small number of stocks will make significant gains which will propel the index higher, but in fact there are a lot more decliners than advancers. This indicates that the market is starting to turn.

The converse is true at the end of a bear market. A few stocks may take the index down although a lot of stocks are in fact rising. This can indicate that the trend is changing.

If the McClellan Oscillator is in the area of -70 to -100 indicating an oversold situation and then turns up a buy signal is generated. Sell signals are generated when the oscillator rises to +70 to +100, indicating an overbought situation, and then turns down.

If the oscillator goes beyond these zones (i.e. above +100 or below -100), this indicates that the market is extremely overbought or oversold. These extreme readings are, however, contrary to expectations, usually a sign that the trend in place will continue.

For example - the oscillator falls to -90 and turns up, thus generating a buy signal. If however, the oscillator falls below -100, the market will probably continue to fall over the next 2 to 3 weeks. Buying should be delayed until the oscillator forms a series of rising bottoms or the market regains strength.

Related post : online stock trading for beginners

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